bktTrades

BEGINNING DATE	POSITION	RETURN	TERM
3/24/2005	GOLD	4.24%	20 weeks
8/5/2005	STOCKS	-3.87%	12 weeks
10/21/2005	GOLD	18.33%	22 weeks
3/17/2006	STOCKS	-2.56%	16 weeks
6/30/2006	GOLD	2.29%	20 weeks
11/10/2006	STOCKS	9.17%	26 weeks
5/4/2007	GOLD	32.54%	104 weeks
4/24/2009	STOCKS	24.08%	70 weeks
8/20/2010	GOLD	13.75%	12 weeks
11/5/2010	STOCKS	8.79%	30 weeks
5/27/2011	GOLD	12.56%	37 weeks
2/3/2012	STOCKS	0.90%	24 weeks
7/13/2012	GOLD	10.64%	14 weeks
10/12/2012	STOCKS	31.61%	82 weeks
5/2/2014	GOLD	-2.41%	19 weeks
9/5/2014	STOCKS	1.11%	10 weeks
11/7/2014	GOLD	-0.89%	18 weeks
3/6/2015	STOCKS	-9.49%	46 weeks
1/15/2016	GOLD	22.59%	35 weeks
9/9/2016	STOCKS	27.48%	113 weeks
11/2/2018	GOLD	5.64%	20 weeks
3/15/2019	STOCKS	7.36%	20 weeks
7/26/2019	GOLD	16.17%	31 weeks
2/21/2020	STOCKS	-19.24%	4 weeks
3/13/2020	GOLD	14.54%	14 weeks
6/12/2020	STOCKS	41.79%	58 weeks
7/16/2021	GOLD	-2.86%	4 weeks
8/6/2021	STOCKS	1.40%	27 weeks
2/4/2022	GOLD	-7.51%	35 weeks
9/30/2022	STOCKS	8.91%	5 weeks
10/28/2022	GOLD	20.76%	23 weeks
3/31/2023	STOCKS	24.89%	58 weeks
5/3/2024	GOLD	19.04%	26 weeks
10/25/2024	STOCKS	4.37%	8 weeks
AVERAGE TIME BETWEEN TRADES --------> 31 weeks
Illustrates applying the BCR formula back in time and rotating at each signal. Holding stocks during Risk On and gold during Risk Off. The orange Rotation line on the chart is the result of these trades.

2005 - 2024ytd
WORST YEARS

2005 - 2024ytd
AVERAGE ANNUAL RETURNS

HOW THE FORMULA WORKS
IDENTIFYING THE CURRENT BUSINESS CYCLE PHASE